Talent Risk Story

Are You Paying Your Commodity Risk Manager Enough?

Over the course of my career, I've worked in two very different types of procurement organizations. Despite their differences, both shared something important in common: neither truly valued the financial impact of commodity risk management enough.

Commodity trading and market data

Organization #1

The Lean Machine

Strategy Was a Luxury No One Could Afford

The CEO mandated that buyers should spend 90% of their time being strategic. The announcement came almost simultaneously with a reduction in staff. The irony was hard to miss.

~$6 Billion in Spend

Total food and packaging spend managed across the entire procurement organization.

16 People

Total procurement headcount, including leadership. Every buyer spent most of their days putting out fires.

5 Brands Supported

One team, stretched across five brands — expediting shipments, resolving shortages, reacting to disruptions.

Organization #2

The Well-Staffed Operation

Different Resources. Same Blind Spot.

Despite the differences in staffing and culture, both organizations undervalued the same thing: the financial impact of the person managing commodity risk.

~$7 Billion in Spend

A similar scale of food and packaging spend — but with a very different approach to resourcing.

25–32 People

Staffing levels were not considered a constraint to growth. The opportunity to be strategic felt almost luxurious.

1 Brand Supported

All that headcount focused on a single brand — a fundamentally different operating model.

The Scale of Responsibility

Breaking down the spend-per-employee math reveals just how much is riding on each person

$375M
Spend per employee at the lean organization ($6B ÷ 16 people)
$250M
Spend per employee at the larger organization ($7B ÷ ~28 people)
2.4×
How much larger the commodity exposure was vs. avg sourcing responsibility
140%
Greater financial exposure managed by the commodity risk role

The Exposure

And That Exposure Isn’t Passive

One Person. Hundreds of Millions. Every Day.

Commodity markets don't wait for committee approvals or quarterly reviews. The person managing that exposure makes high-stakes decisions continuously — and the financial consequences compound with every market move.

$600M–$900M Annually

The manageable commodity exposure personally overseen at the lean organization — dwarfing the average sourcing responsibility.

Over $1 Billion

The commodity exposure managed at the larger organization. One person. One billion dollars of market risk.

Markets Move Daily

Decisions about when to lock pricing, how to structure supplier agreements, and how to manage market risk can influence tens of millions of dollars in cost outcomes.

The Leverage

Why Commodity Decisions Carry Outsized Impact

Commodity inputs don't just influence cost — they often define it

15–30% of Total Cost

For many food products, the commodity component represents 15–30% of total cost. That's not a line item — it's a cost driver.

70%+ for Some Items

For certain products, commodity inputs climb to 70% or more of product cost. Market movements directly define the cost structure.

One Person Responsible

One person monitoring markets. One person building supplier strategies. One person deciding when to lock pricing or stay exposed.

Treated as "Just Another Sourcing Role"

Yet compensation structures often treat this role as simply another sourcing position — despite managing multiples of the typical spend responsibility.

Financial leverage and impact

The Disconnect

Valued… But Still Undervalued

Which Leads to a Question Most Companies Rarely Ask

When organizations truly value something, they invest in the talent responsible for managing it. But when hundreds of millions — or billions — of dollars are exposed to volatile commodity markets, most companies still treat the role as interchangeable with standard sourcing.

Everyone Notices When Markets Spike

Most executives understand that commodity volatility matters. When markets spike, everyone pays attention.

But Recognition Falls Short

When it comes to recognizing the financial leverage of the people managing that exposure, organizations consistently fall short.

The Math Is Straightforward

If a sourcing lead manages $375M of spend, and a commodity risk manager is responsible for $900M of exposure, the scale of responsibility is dramatically larger.

Are You Paying Your Commodity Risk Manager Enough?

Because when hundreds of millions — or billions — of dollars are exposed to volatile commodity markets, the most important hedge a company can make might not be financial.

It might be human capital.